Welcome - International Institute of Forecasters
WEBThe International Institute of Forecasters (IIF) is a nonprofit organization founded in 1982, dedicated to developing and furthering the generation, distribution, and use of knowledge on forecasting. BECOME A MEMBER TODAY
See the future sooner with Superforecasting | Good Judgment
WEBThe Good Judgment Project—led by Philip Tetlock and Barbara Mellers at the University of Pennsylvania—emerged as the undisputed victor of the geopolitical forecasting competition. Reports that Superforecasters were 30% more accurate than intelligence analysts with access to classified information rocked the conventional wisdom.
6 tools our meteorologists use to forecast the weather
WEBAug 14, 2017 · Observational data collected by doppler radar, radiosondes, weather satellites, buoys and other instruments are fed into computerized NWS numerical forecast models. The models use equations, along with new and past weather data, to provide forecast guidance to our meteorologists. Learn more about NOAA’s supercomputers.
Forecast Process - National Weather Service
WEBWeather.gov > About the NWS > Forecast Process. About. If it falls from the sky, flows across the surface of the Earth, or is released from the Sun, the National Weather Service most likely produces a forecast for it. NWS meteorologists across the country create forecasts for a wide variety of weather elements such as rainfall, snow storms ...
About Us - International Institute of Forecasters
WEBThe International Institute of Forecasters (IIF), a nonprofit organization founded in 1982, is dedicated to developing and furthering the generation, distribution, and use of knowledge on forecasting through the following objectives: Develop and unify forecasting as a multidisciplinary field of research drawing on management, behavioral ...
First Quarter 2024 Survey of Professional Forecasters
WEBFeb 9, 2024 · Forecasters Predict Higher Output Growth and Brighter Labor Market in 2024. The near-term outlook for the U.S. economy looks better now than it did three months ago, according to 34 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
Forecasters use Foresight - International Institute of Forecasters
WEBForesight is a quarterly publication of the nonprofit International Institute of Forecasters. The premier journal for working forecasters and planners, it synthesizes up-to-the-minute research with the insight and expertise of highly respected practitioners.
What the “superforecasters” predict for major events in 2023
WEBNov 18, 2022 · The superforecasters scored 5/8 with their predictions for 2022, correctly calling election results in France and Brazil; the lack of a Winter Olympics boycott; the outcome of America’s midterm ...
The science of weather forecasting: what it takes and why it’s so …
WEBFeb 1, 2022 · Weather forecasting is an important science. Accurate forecasting can help to save lives and minimise property damage. It’s also crucial for agriculture, allowing farmers to track when it’s ...
Opinion | Predicting the Future Is Possible. These ‘Superforecasters ...
WEBDec 3, 2021 · These ‘Superforecasters’ Know How. - The New York Times. Predicting the Future Is Possible. These ‘Superforecasters’ Know How. The psychologist Philip Tetlock on the art and science of ...
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